Medication Sales and Syndromic Surveillance, France
Identifieur interne : 000133 ( Pmc/Checkpoint ); précédent : 000132; suivant : 000134Medication Sales and Syndromic Surveillance, France
Auteurs : Elisabeta Vergu [France] ; Rebecca F. Grais [France] ; Hélène Sarter [France] ; Jean-Paul Fagot [France] ; Bruno Lambert [France] ; Alain-Jacques Valleron [France] ; Antoine Flahault [France]Source :
- Emerging Infectious Diseases [ 1080-6040 ] ; 2006.
Abstract
Real-time over-the-counter drug sales provide an additional tool for disease surveillance.
Url:
DOI: 10.3201/eid1203.050573
PubMed: 16704778
PubMed Central: 3291431
Affiliations:
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Paris</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Paris</settlement></placeName><orgName type="university">Université Pierre-et-Marie-Curie</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Paris</settlement><region type="region" nuts="2">Île-de-France</region></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff3">Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique MIA, Jouy-en-Josas, France;</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique MIA, Jouy-en-Josas</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Jouy-en-Josas</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>Jouy-en-Josas</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Grais, Rebecca F" sort="Grais, Rebecca F" uniqKey="Grais R" first="Rebecca F." last="Grais">Rebecca F. Grais</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Medicale Unité, Paris, France;</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Medicale Unité, Paris</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Paris</settlement></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:aff id="aff2">Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris, France;</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Paris</settlement></placeName><orgName type="university">Université Pierre-et-Marie-Curie</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Paris</settlement><region type="region" nuts="2">Île-de-France</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Sarter, Helene" sort="Sarter, Helene" uniqKey="Sarter H" first="Hélène" last="Sarter">Hélène Sarter</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Medicale Unité, Paris, France;</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Medicale Unité, Paris</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Paris</settlement></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:aff id="aff2">Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris, France;</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Paris</settlement></placeName><orgName type="university">Université Pierre-et-Marie-Curie</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Paris</settlement><region type="region" nuts="2">Île-de-France</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Fagot, Jean Paul" sort="Fagot, Jean Paul" uniqKey="Fagot J" first="Jean-Paul" last="Fagot">Jean-Paul Fagot</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Medicale Unité, Paris, France;</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Medicale Unité, Paris</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Paris</settlement></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:aff id="aff2">Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris, France;</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Paris</settlement></placeName><orgName type="university">Université Pierre-et-Marie-Curie</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Paris</settlement><region type="region" nuts="2">Île-de-France</region></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Lambert, Bruno" sort="Lambert, Bruno" uniqKey="Lambert B" first="Bruno" last="Lambert">Bruno Lambert</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff4">IMS FRANCE, Puteaux, France;</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>IMS FRANCE, Puteaux</wicri:regionArea><wicri:noRegion>Puteaux</wicri:noRegion><wicri:noRegion>Puteaux</wicri:noRegion></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Valleron, Alain Jacques" sort="Valleron, Alain Jacques" uniqKey="Valleron A" first="Alain-Jacques" last="Valleron">Alain-Jacques Valleron</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Medicale Unité, Paris, France;</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Medicale Unité, Paris</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Paris</settlement></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:aff id="aff2">Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris, France;</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Paris</settlement></placeName><orgName type="university">Université Pierre-et-Marie-Curie</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Paris</settlement><region type="region" nuts="2">Île-de-France</region></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff5">Hôpital Saint-Antoine, Paris, France;</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Hôpital Saint-Antoine, Paris</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Paris</settlement></placeName></affiliation></author><author><name sortKey="Flahault, Antoine" sort="Flahault, Antoine" uniqKey="Flahault A" first="Antoine" last="Flahault">Antoine Flahault</name><affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:aff id="aff1">Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Medicale Unité, Paris, France;</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Medicale Unité, Paris</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Paris</settlement></placeName></affiliation><affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:aff id="aff2">Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris, France;</nlm:aff><country xml:lang="fr">France</country><wicri:regionArea>Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris</wicri:regionArea><placeName><settlement type="city">Paris</settlement></placeName><orgName type="university">Université Pierre-et-Marie-Curie</orgName><placeName><settlement type="city">Paris</settlement><region type="region" nuts="2">Île-de-France</region></placeName></affiliation><affiliation><nlm:aff>NONE</nlm:aff></affiliation></author></analytic><series><title level="j">Emerging Infectious Diseases</title><idno type="ISSN">1080-6040</idno><idno type="eISSN">1080-6059</idno><imprint><date when="2006">2006</date></imprint></series></biblStruct></sourceDesc></fileDesc><profileDesc><textClass></textClass></profileDesc></teiHeader><front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en"><p>Real-time over-the-counter drug sales provide an additional tool for disease surveillance.</p></div></front><back><div1 type="bibliography"><listBibl><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct><biblStruct></biblStruct></listBibl></div1></back></TEI><pmc article-type="research-article"><pmc-dir>properties open_access</pmc-dir>
<front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="nlm-ta">Emerg Infect Dis</journal-id><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">EID</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title>Emerging Infectious Diseases</journal-title></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1080-6040</issn><issn pub-type="epub">1080-6059</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Centers for Disease Control and Prevention</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="pmid">16704778</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="pmc">3291431</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="publisher-id">05-0573</article-id><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.3201/eid1203.050573</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="article-type"><subject>Research</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Medication Sales and Syndromic Surveillance, France</article-title><alt-title alt-title-type="running-head">Running title: Medication Sales and Syndromic Surveillance</alt-title></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name><surname>Vergu</surname><given-names>Elisabeta</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">*</xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">†</xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">‡</xref><xref ref-type="fn" rid="FN1">1</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Grais</surname><given-names>Rebecca F.</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">*</xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">†</xref><xref ref-type="fn" rid="FN1">1</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Sarter</surname><given-names>Hélène</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">*</xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">†</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Fagot</surname><given-names>Jean-Paul</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">*</xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">†</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Lambert</surname><given-names>Bruno</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">§</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Valleron</surname><given-names>Alain-Jacques</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">*</xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">†</xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">¶</xref></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author"><name><surname>Flahault</surname><given-names>Antoine</given-names></name><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">*</xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">†</xref><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">#</xref></contrib><aff id="aff1"><label>*</label>Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Medicale Unité, Paris, France;</aff><aff id="aff2"><label>†</label>Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris, France;</aff><aff id="aff3"><label>‡</label>Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique MIA, Jouy-en-Josas, France;</aff><aff id="aff4"><label>§</label>IMS FRANCE, Puteaux, France;</aff><aff id="aff5"><label>¶</label>Hôpital Saint-Antoine, Paris, France;</aff><aff id="aff6"><label> #</label>Hôpital Tenon, Paris, France</aff></contrib-group><author-notes><corresp id="cor1">Address for correspondence: Elisabeta Vergu, INSERM, Épidémiologie Systèmes d’Information et Modélisation (U707), WHO Collaborating Center for Electronic Disease Surveillance, 27 rue Chaligny, 75571 Paris Cedex, France; fax: 33-1-4473-8454; email: <email xlink:href="vergu@u707.jussieu.fr">vergu@u707.jussieu.fr</email></corresp></author-notes><pub-date pub-type="ppub"><month>3</month><year>2006</year></pub-date><volume>12</volume><issue>3</issue><fpage>416</fpage><lpage>421</lpage><abstract abstract-type="toc"><p>Real-time over-the-counter drug sales provide an additional tool for disease surveillance.</p></abstract><abstract><p>Although syndromic surveillance systems using nonclinical data have been implemented in the United States, the approach has yet to be tested in France. We present the results of the first model based on drug sales that detects the onset of influenza season and forecasts its trend. Using weekly lagged sales of a selected set of medications, we forecast influenzalike illness (ILI) incidence at the national and regional level for 3 epidemic seasons (2000-01, 2001-02, and 2002-03) and validate the model with real-time updating on the fourth (2003-04). For national forecasts 1–3 weeks ahead, the correlation between observed ILI incidence and forecast was 0.85–0.96, an improvement over the current surveillance method in France. Our findings indicate that drug sales are a useful additional tool to syndromic surveillance, a complementary and independent source of information, and a potential improvement for early warning systems for both epidemic and pandemic planning.</p></abstract><kwd-group kwd-group-type="author"><title>Keywords: </title><kwd>public health surveillance</kwd><kwd>influenza</kwd><kwd>drug sales</kwd><kwd>forecasting model</kwd><kwd>sentinel surveillance</kwd><kwd>research</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front></pmc><affiliations><list><country><li>France</li></country><region><li>Île-de-France</li></region><settlement><li>Paris</li></settlement><orgName><li>Université Pierre-et-Marie-Curie</li></orgName></list><tree><country name="France"><noRegion><name sortKey="Vergu, Elisabeta" sort="Vergu, Elisabeta" uniqKey="Vergu E" first="Elisabeta" last="Vergu">Elisabeta Vergu</name></noRegion><name sortKey="Fagot, Jean Paul" sort="Fagot, Jean Paul" uniqKey="Fagot J" first="Jean-Paul" last="Fagot">Jean-Paul Fagot</name><name sortKey="Fagot, Jean Paul" sort="Fagot, Jean Paul" uniqKey="Fagot J" first="Jean-Paul" last="Fagot">Jean-Paul Fagot</name><name sortKey="Flahault, Antoine" sort="Flahault, Antoine" uniqKey="Flahault A" first="Antoine" last="Flahault">Antoine Flahault</name><name sortKey="Flahault, Antoine" sort="Flahault, Antoine" uniqKey="Flahault A" first="Antoine" last="Flahault">Antoine Flahault</name><name sortKey="Grais, Rebecca F" sort="Grais, Rebecca F" uniqKey="Grais R" first="Rebecca F." last="Grais">Rebecca F. Grais</name><name sortKey="Grais, Rebecca F" sort="Grais, Rebecca F" uniqKey="Grais R" first="Rebecca F." last="Grais">Rebecca F. Grais</name><name sortKey="Lambert, Bruno" sort="Lambert, Bruno" uniqKey="Lambert B" first="Bruno" last="Lambert">Bruno Lambert</name><name sortKey="Sarter, Helene" sort="Sarter, Helene" uniqKey="Sarter H" first="Hélène" last="Sarter">Hélène Sarter</name><name sortKey="Sarter, Helene" sort="Sarter, Helene" uniqKey="Sarter H" first="Hélène" last="Sarter">Hélène Sarter</name><name sortKey="Valleron, Alain Jacques" sort="Valleron, Alain Jacques" uniqKey="Valleron A" first="Alain-Jacques" last="Valleron">Alain-Jacques Valleron</name><name sortKey="Valleron, Alain Jacques" sort="Valleron, Alain Jacques" uniqKey="Valleron A" first="Alain-Jacques" last="Valleron">Alain-Jacques Valleron</name><name sortKey="Valleron, Alain Jacques" sort="Valleron, Alain Jacques" uniqKey="Valleron A" first="Alain-Jacques" last="Valleron">Alain-Jacques Valleron</name><name sortKey="Vergu, Elisabeta" sort="Vergu, Elisabeta" uniqKey="Vergu E" first="Elisabeta" last="Vergu">Elisabeta Vergu</name><name sortKey="Vergu, Elisabeta" sort="Vergu, Elisabeta" uniqKey="Vergu E" first="Elisabeta" last="Vergu">Elisabeta Vergu</name></country></tree></affiliations></record>Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)
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